BearPaws

AUD

Australian Dollar
Bullish
Score
+1.72
1D %
+0.13%
1W %
+0.16%
1M %
-0.11%

Score blends a macro-fundamental component (rates, inflation, growth, employment) with price momentum over a weeks-to-months horizon. Positive = strengthening / inflationary pressure, negative = weakening.

Score History · AUD

90 pts · intrinsic
+1.72Δ window+0.08

Macro Indicators

AUD
Consumer Confidence (OECD, Australia, percentage balance)
-17.0Δ+3.0May 2026
Business Confidence – Manufacturing (OECD, Australia, PMI proxy)
9.3Δ+0.0Jan 2026
Building Permits – Dwellings Index (OECD, Australia, monthly)
94.7Δ+7.6Apr 2026
Unemployment Rate (OECD, Australia, % labour force)
4.5Δ+0.2Apr 2026

PMI / Services PMI gaps documented in backend §8.2: ISM is proprietary, FRED's `NAPMPI` series discontinued.

COT Positioning

non-commercial · weekly
Long
92995
Short
74835
Net
+18160
ReportNetΔ longΔ short
2026-06-09+18160-12181+11471
2026-06-02+41812-23953-5610
2026-05-26+60155-22454+3035
2026-05-19+85644+783+129
2026-05-12+84990+7586+1270
2026-05-05+78674+6305-500
2026-04-28+71869+8098+1046
2026-04-21+64817-706-448

Net = long − short. Heavy positive net = crowded long (contrarian risk when paired with negative fundamental score).

View AUD outlookFundamental strength, COT lean & news read

AUD · frequently asked questions

What does the Australian Dollar (AUD) intrinsic score mean?
The Australian Dollar intrinsic score is a single fundamental-strength reading for AUD, blending macro indicators with price momentum. A positive score points to inflationary or strengthening pressure, a negative score to deflationary or weakening pressure, and a near-zero score to a balanced stance.
Is AUD bullish or bearish right now?
Australian Dollar (AUD) currently reads bullish: its fundamental strength and momentum lean positive. Its latest reading is 1.72. This is market context (a weeks-to-months bias, not an entry signal), so wait for price action to confirm before acting.
What macro indicators feed the AUD score?
The AUD score draws on macro inputs including PMI, Services PMI, the Consumer Confidence Index, Retail Sales, Building Permits, and the employment report. These readings are synthesised into a directional consensus and combined with price momentum to produce the intrinsic score.
How is AUD COT positioning used?
Commitment of Traders (COT) data shows how non-commercial (speculative and institutional) traders are positioned in AUD. BearPaws uses it for trend confirmation or contrarian reads alongside the intrinsic and cross-pair scores, not as a standalone signal.