Fundamental Valuation
One score per currency · macro synthesis · second-order CB policy effects
Policy Spectrum
anticipated CB leanEach currency is plotted by intrinsic score on a relative axis; the extremes are scaled to the basket's widest reading, not absolute. Policy lean is the anticipated second-order central-bank reaction (hike/hold/cut), not a rate forecast.
By Currency
score → pressure → policy1JPY+3.65Macro
Positive intrinsic score (3.65) signals inflationary pressure; biases Japanese Yen policy toward tightening.
2AUD+1.73Macro
Positive intrinsic score (1.73) signals inflationary pressure; biases Australian Dollar policy toward tightening.
3GBP+1.49Macro
Positive intrinsic score (1.49) signals inflationary pressure; biases British Pound policy toward tightening.
4USD+0.29Macro
Near-zero intrinsic score (0.29): pressures balanced, no clear policy lean.
5EUR+0.18
Near-zero intrinsic score (0.18): pressures balanced, no clear policy lean.
Momentum-only: no macro coverage for EUR yet (FRED is US-only; see footnote).
6CHF+0.14Macro
Near-zero intrinsic score (0.14): pressures balanced, no clear policy lean.
7NZD-0.02
Near-zero intrinsic score (-0.02): pressures balanced, no clear policy lean.
Momentum-only: no macro coverage for NZD yet (FRED is US-only; see footnote).
8CAD-0.89Macro
Negative intrinsic score (-0.89) signals deflationary pressure; biases Canadian Dollar policy toward easing.
9XAU-3.59
Negative intrinsic score (-3.59) signals deflationary pressure; biases Gold policy toward easing.
Momentum-only: no macro coverage for XAU yet (FRED is US-only; see footnote).
10XAG-4.28
Negative intrinsic score (-4.28) signals deflationary pressure; biases Silver policy toward easing.
Momentum-only: no macro coverage for XAG yet (FRED is US-only; see footnote).
One score per currency synthesising macro factors. Negative → deflationary, positive → inflationary, near-zero → balanced. Policy lean is the anticipated second-order central-bank reaction (hike/hold/cut) derived from the score, not a rate forecast. Macro basis is USD-only today (FRED is US-only); other majors are momentum-only until a paid macro feed is wired.