BearPaws

EUR

Euro
Neutral
Score
+0.19
1D %
+0.08%
1W %
+0.14%
1M %
+0.07%

Score is momentum-driven for EUR; broad macro-indicator coverage isn't available yet, so treat the conviction as lower.

Score History · EUR

90 pts · intrinsic
+0.19Δ window-0.14

Macro Indicators

EUR
Consumer Confidence (Eurostat, balance)
-13.1Δ-0.3Dec 2025
Unemployment Rate (Eurostat, % active pop.)
6.3Δ-0.1Nov 2025
Retail Trade Volume (Eurostat, index 2021=100)
103.7Δ+0.2Nov 2025
Building Permits (Eurostat, dwellings index 2021=100)
94.4Δ+4.7Sep 2025
Industrial Confidence (Eurostat, PMI proxy)
-9.0Δ+0.3Dec 2025
Services Confidence (Eurostat, ServPMI proxy)
5.6Δ-0.2Dec 2025

PMI / Services PMI gaps documented in backend §8.2: ISM is proprietary, FRED's `NAPMPI` series discontinued.

COT Positioning

non-commercial · weekly
Long
219564
Short
205632
Net
+13932
ReportNetΔ longΔ short
2026-06-09+13932-15878+19056
2026-06-02+48866+12387-7053
2026-05-26+29426-10196-6109
2026-05-19+33513+9249+15936
2026-05-12+40200+6528-1470
2026-05-05+32202+383+3893
2026-04-28+35712-316+5296
2026-04-21+41324+2768-12538

Net = long − short. Heavy positive net = crowded long (contrarian risk when paired with negative fundamental score).

View EUR outlookFundamental strength, COT lean & news read

EUR · frequently asked questions

What does the Euro (EUR) intrinsic score mean?
The Euro intrinsic score is a single fundamental-strength reading for EUR, blending macro indicators with price momentum. A positive score points to inflationary or strengthening pressure, a negative score to deflationary or weakening pressure, and a near-zero score to a balanced stance.
Is EUR bullish or bearish right now?
Euro (EUR) currently reads neutral: its fundamental strength and momentum are roughly balanced. Its latest reading is 0.19. This is market context (a weeks-to-months bias, not an entry signal), so wait for price action to confirm before acting.
What macro indicators feed the EUR score?
The EUR score draws on macro inputs including PMI, Services PMI, the Consumer Confidence Index, Retail Sales, Building Permits, and the employment report. These readings are synthesised into a directional consensus and combined with price momentum to produce the intrinsic score.
How is EUR COT positioning used?
Commitment of Traders (COT) data shows how non-commercial (speculative and institutional) traders are positioned in EUR. BearPaws uses it for trend confirmation or contrarian reads alongside the intrinsic and cross-pair scores, not as a standalone signal.