AUD/CAD0.99209▲ 0.17%AUD/CHF0.56581▲ 0.20%AUD/JPY113.07▲ 0.16%AUD/NZD1.22140▲ 0.16%AUD/USD0.70101▲ 0.14%CAD/CHF0.57032▲ 0.03%CAD/JPY113.97▼ 0.01%CHF/JPY199.84▼ 0.04%EUR/AUD1.63655▼ 0.05%EUR/CAD1.62361▲ 0.12%EUR/CHF0.92598▲ 0.15%EUR/GBP0.86691▲ 0.01%EUR/JPY185.04▲ 0.11%EUR/NZD1.99888▲ 0.11%EUR/USD1.14724▲ 0.10%GBP/AUD1.88779▼ 0.06%GBP/CAD1.87286▲ 0.11%GBP/CHF1.06813▲ 0.14%GBP/JPY213.45▲ 0.10%GBP/NZD2.30575▲ 0.10%GBP/USD1.32336▲ 0.09%NZD/CAD0.81226▲ 0.01%NZD/CHF0.46325▲ 0.04%NZD/JPY92.573▼ 0.00%NZD/USD0.57394▼ 0.02%USD/CAD1.41523▲ 0.02%USD/CHF0.80713▲ 0.05%USD/JPY161.29▲ 0.01%XAG/USD64.837▼ 0.00%XAU/USD4155.68▲ 0.00%AUD/CAD0.99209▲ 0.17%AUD/CHF0.56581▲ 0.20%AUD/JPY113.07▲ 0.16%AUD/NZD1.22140▲ 0.16%AUD/USD0.70101▲ 0.14%CAD/CHF0.57032▲ 0.03%CAD/JPY113.97▼ 0.01%CHF/JPY199.84▼ 0.04%EUR/AUD1.63655▼ 0.05%EUR/CAD1.62361▲ 0.12%EUR/CHF0.92598▲ 0.15%EUR/GBP0.86691▲ 0.01%EUR/JPY185.04▲ 0.11%EUR/NZD1.99888▲ 0.11%EUR/USD1.14724▲ 0.10%GBP/AUD1.88779▼ 0.06%GBP/CAD1.87286▲ 0.11%GBP/CHF1.06813▲ 0.14%GBP/JPY213.45▲ 0.10%GBP/NZD2.30575▲ 0.10%GBP/USD1.32336▲ 0.09%NZD/CAD0.81226▲ 0.01%NZD/CHF0.46325▲ 0.04%NZD/JPY92.573▼ 0.00%NZD/USD0.57394▼ 0.02%USD/CAD1.41523▲ 0.02%USD/CHF0.80713▲ 0.05%USD/JPY161.29▲ 0.01%XAG/USD64.837▼ 0.00%XAU/USD4155.68▲ 0.00%
USD
US DollarScore
+0.291D %
-0.02%1W %
+0.15%1M %
+1.83%Score blends a macro-fundamental component (rates, inflation, growth, employment) with price momentum over a weeks-to-months horizon. Positive = strengthening / inflationary pressure, negative = weakening.
Score History · USD
90 pts · intrinsic+0.29Δ window-0.84
Macro Indicators
USDNonfarm Payrolls (level)
159001.0Δ+172.0May 2026
Consumer Sentiment (University of Michigan)
49.8Δ-3.5Apr 2026
Retail Sales (advance, ex food services)
662752.0Δ+6819.0May 2026
Building Permits (privately-owned housing units)
1413.0Δ-10.0May 2026
IndicatorValueΔ priorRelease
Nonfarm Payrolls (level)159001.0+172.0May 2026
Consumer Sentiment (University of Michigan)49.8-3.5Apr 2026
Retail Sales (advance, ex food services)662752.0+6819.0May 2026
Building Permits (privately-owned housing units)1413.0-10.0May 2026
PMI / Services PMI gaps documented in backend §8.2: ISM is proprietary, FRED's `NAPMPI` series discontinued.
COT Positioning
non-commercial · weeklyLong
27908Short
26524Net
+1384ReportNetΔ longΔ short
2026-06-09+1384+3324+5698
2026-06-02+3758+1852-1056
2026-05-26+850+1329+0
2026-05-19-479+2491+6157
2026-05-12+3187+1864-630
2026-05-05+693-132+3683
2026-04-28+4508-437+38
2026-04-21+4983-1353-1166
Net = long − short. Heavy positive net = crowded long (contrarian risk when paired with negative fundamental score).
View USD outlookFundamental strength, COT lean & news read
News
tagged · USD- The Fed is forcing Wall Street to do the heavy lifting. Use these benchmarks to find your footing.29m · marketwatch
- Fed Governor Bowman Spoke at Private Dinner After Policy Meeting3h · bloomberg-markets
- USD/JPY set for highest weekly close since 198621h · forexlive
- Warsh’s new task forces give the Fed wiggle room to put off changing rates until December23h · marketwatch
- Trump picked Kevin Warsh to cut rates. The new Fed chief just told us he has other plans.23h · marketwatch
- Questions are creeping in about AI usefulness and spend23h · forexlive
- Mixed day for European stock markets as they wrap up a strong week1d · forexlive
- Gold finds itself in a worse place, if you trust Kevin Warsh1d · forexlive
- USD/CAD continues to run after breaking the November high1d · forexlive
- Dollar’s Appreciation Likely to be Limited1d · wsj-markets
- The Fed’s new hawkish reality just forced Goldman Sachs to slash its gold forecast by $5001d · marketwatch
- investingLive European FX news wrap: Markets consolidate on US Juneteenth1d · forexlive
- US Dollar Rally Tests Whether Fed Hike Bets Have Gone Too Far1d · investing-forex
- Why the Fed’s hawkish stance signals a step-change in U.S. dollar sentiment — and a new direction1d · marketwatch
- The Dollar Is Riding High Thanks to a Newly Hawkish Fed1d · bloomberg-markets
Currency tagging is regex-based today; AI-driven impact + sentiment scoring is coming soon.
USD · frequently asked questions
What does the US Dollar (USD) intrinsic score mean?
The US Dollar intrinsic score is a single fundamental-strength reading for USD, blending macro indicators with price momentum. A positive score points to inflationary or strengthening pressure, a negative score to deflationary or weakening pressure, and a near-zero score to a balanced stance.
Is USD bullish or bearish right now?
US Dollar (USD) currently reads neutral: its fundamental strength and momentum are roughly balanced. Its latest reading is 0.29. This is market context (a weeks-to-months bias, not an entry signal), so wait for price action to confirm before acting.
What macro indicators feed the USD score?
The USD score draws on macro inputs including PMI, Services PMI, the Consumer Confidence Index, Retail Sales, Building Permits, and the employment report. These readings are synthesised into a directional consensus and combined with price momentum to produce the intrinsic score.
How is USD COT positioning used?
Commitment of Traders (COT) data shows how non-commercial (speculative and institutional) traders are positioned in USD. BearPaws uses it for trend confirmation or contrarian reads alongside the intrinsic and cross-pair scores, not as a standalone signal.